How do you decide how many AR and MA terms to include in an ARMA model?
Two methods are introduced for selecting model order: plotting patterns in correlation and using automatic selection techniques.
Conditions
- Used when deciding how many AR and MA terms to include
Reasoning, step by step
- Identify the first technique: Plotting patterns in correlation.
- Identify the second technique: Automatic selection techniques.
Example
The final slide lists 'Plotting patterns in correlation' and 'Automatic selection techniques' under 'Couple of different techniques to selecting models'.
Common misconceptions
- Thinking there is only one way to select model orders.
- Believing that automatic selection techniques provide final optimal models without refinement.
Watch the explanation
YouTubeWhat are ARIMA Models
1:57 – 2:00Watch this moment ↗
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