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How do you decide how many AR and MA terms to include in an ARMA model?

Two methods are introduced for selecting model order: plotting patterns in correlation and using automatic selection techniques.

Conditions

  • Used when deciding how many AR and MA terms to include

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Identify the first technique: Plotting patterns in correlation.
  2. Identify the second technique: Automatic selection techniques.

Example

The final slide lists 'Plotting patterns in correlation' and 'Automatic selection techniques' under 'Couple of different techniques to selecting models'.

Common misconceptions

  • Thinking there is only one way to select model orders.
  • Believing that automatic selection techniques provide final optimal models without refinement.

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