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How is the probability of an even result found for a fair six-sided die?

For a fair six-sided die, the probability of rolling an even number is calculated using the classical probability formula. You count the number of favorable outcomes (even faces) and divide by the total number of possible outcomes (all faces). Since there are 3 even faces (2, 4, 6) out of 6 total faces, the probability is 3/63/6, which simplifies to 1/21/2.

Conditions

  • The die is fair (each face has equal probability).
  • The sample space is finite and consists of the numbers 1 through 6.
  • The event of interest is rolling an even number.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Identify the sample space: {1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}.
  2. Identify the favorable outcomes for the event 'even roll': {2,4,6}\{2, 4, 6\}.
  3. Count the number of favorable outcomes: 3.
  4. Count the total number of possible outcomes: 6.
  5. Apply the classical probability formula: P(E)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of possible outcomesP(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}}.
  6. Calculate the ratio: 36\frac{3}{6}.
  7. Simplify the fraction to get 12\frac{1}{2}.

Example

The video lists the numbers 1 through 6 vertically and circles 2, 4, and 6. The narration states: 'There are 3 favorable faces out of 6 equally likely faces, giving 3/6=1/23/6=1/2.'

Common misconceptions

  • Believing that the probability depends on the order of the numbers on the die.
  • Confusing the number of favorable outcomes with the sum of the favorable outcomes.
  • Assuming the die is biased without evidence, which would invalidate the classical probability formula.

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