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Under the failures-count convention, what distribution describes the number of failures before the first success in independent trials with a fixed success probability?

The geometric distribution describes the number of failures before the first success, provided the trials are independent and the success probability remains fixed.

Conditions

  • Trials are independent.
  • Success probability is fixed.
  • The convention counts the number of failures before the first success.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Identify the sequence of independent trials.
  2. Verify that the success probability is constant across all trials.
  3. Count the number of failures that occur before the first success.
  4. Assign this count to the geometric distribution.

Example

The script states: 'In independent trials with a fixed success probability, the number of failures before the first success follows the geometric distribution under the failures-count convention.'

Common misconceptions

  • Believing the geometric distribution counts the total number of trials including the first success, rather than just the failures.
  • Assuming the success probability can change from trial to trial.

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