Under the failures-count convention, what distribution describes the number of failures before the first success in independent trials with a fixed success probability?
Conditions
- Trials are independent.
- Success probability is fixed.
- The convention counts the number of failures before the first success.
Reasoning, step by step
- Identify the sequence of independent trials.
- Verify that the success probability is constant across all trials.
- Count the number of failures that occur before the first success.
- Assign this count to the geometric distribution.
Example
The script states: 'In independent trials with a fixed success probability, the number of failures before the first success follows the geometric distribution under the failures-count convention.'
Common misconceptions
- Believing the geometric distribution counts the total number of trials including the first success, rather than just the failures.
- Assuming the success probability can change from trial to trial.
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