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What are the first three running averages for the observations 55, 65, and 45?

The first three running averages are 55, 60, and 55. The first average is just the first observation (55). The second is the mean of 55 and 65, which is 60. The third is the mean of 55, 65, and 45, which sums to 165 and divides by 3 to give 55.

Conditions

  • Observations are 55, 65, and 45.
  • The sample mean is calculated cumulatively.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Calculate X‾1=55\overline{X}_1 = 55.
  2. Calculate X‾2=55+652=60\overline{X}_2 = \frac{55+65}{2} = 60.
  3. Calculate X‾3=55+65+453=1653=55\overline{X}_3 = \frac{55+65+45}{3} = \frac{165}{3} = 55.

Example

The video computes these values explicitly: 55, then (55+6555+65)/2=60, then 165/3=55165/3=55.

Common misconceptions

  • Assuming the average must monotonically approach the expected value; it can fluctuate above and below 50.

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