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What is the relationship between the probability density function and the probability of a small interval?

For a very small interval of width Δx\Delta x, the probability that the random variable falls within that interval is approximately equal to the value of the probability density function at a point in the interval multiplied by the width Δx\Delta x. This relationship, P{x<X≤x+Δx}≈f(x)ΔxP\{x < X \le x + \Delta x\} \approx f(x)\Delta x, bridges the concept of density (probability per unit length) with actual probability over a range.

Conditions

  • The interval width Δx\Delta x is very small
  • Higher-order infinitesimals are neglected
  • f(x)f(x) is continuous at the reference point

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Define the probability density function f(x)f(x).
  2. Consider a small interval (x,x+Δx](x, x+\Delta x].
  3. Approximate the probability over this interval using the rectangle area under the density curve.
  4. State the approximation formula: Probability ≈\approx Density ×\times Width.
  5. Explain that this approximation becomes exact in the limit as Δx→0\Delta x \to 0 (leading to the integral).

Example

The video inserts a textbook page explaining: "This means that the probability of X falling in the small interval (x, x+Δxx+Δx] is approximately equal to f(x)Δxf(x)Δx."

Common misconceptions

  • Believing that f(x)f(x) is the probability at point xx.
  • Thinking that the probability of any interval is exactly f(x)Δxf(x)\Delta x regardless of interval size.
  • Confusing the area under the density curve with the density value itself.

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