You convert a state price vector into risk-neutral probabilities by multiplying each state price by the gross risk-free factor , where is the per-period risk-free interest rate. This scaling transforms the monetary prices of Arrow-Debreu securities into a valid probability distribution that sums to 1.
Conditions: The state prices are already determined.; is the known per-period risk-free interest rate.; The market is a one-period finite-state model.
You convert a state price vector into risk-neutral probabilities by multiplying each state price by the gross risk-free factor , where is the per-period risk-free interest rate. This scaling transforms the monetary prices of Arrow-Debreu securities into a valid probability distribution that sums to 1.
Conditions: The state prices are already determined.; is the known per-period risk-free interest rate.; The market is a one-period finite-state model.