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Answers for “如何逐步计算指数平滑预测值?”

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To calculate exponential smoothing forecasts step-by-step, first initialize the first forecast equal to the first actual demand. Then, for each subsequent period, substitute the previous period's actual demand and previous forecast into the formula Ft+1=αAt+(1−α)FtF_{t+1} = \alpha A_t + (1-\alpha)F_t to compute the next forecast, repeating this recursive process until the target period is reached.

Conditions: The smoothing constant α\alpha is fixed across all periods.; An initial forecast F1F_1 is established from A1A_1.; Each new forecast depends only on the immediately preceding actual demand and forecast.