The video demonstrates initializing the first forecast by setting it directly equal to the first period's actual demand. Because there is no prior forecast available to use in the recursive formula, the observed actual demand for period 1 is placed straight into the forecast column as .
Conditions: Used when no prior forecast is available.; Applied specifically to period 1 in this example.; After initialization, later forecasts are generated recursively starting from period 2.
The video demonstrates initializing the first forecast by setting it directly equal to the first period's actual demand. Because there is no prior forecast available to use in the recursive formula, the observed actual demand for period 1 is placed straight into the forecast column as .
Conditions: Used when no prior forecast is available.; Applied specifically to period 1 in this example.; After initialization, later forecasts are generated recursively starting from period 2.