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Answers for “在保持固定的变量方面,概率和似然有什么区别?”

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Probability fixes the parameter and varies the data, resulting in a normalized distribution where the probabilities sum to 1. Likelihood fixes the data and varies the parameter, resulting in a non-normalized curve whose integral does not equal 1.

Conditions: Both views are based on the same conditional expression P(x∣θ)P(x \mid \theta).; Probability view: parameter is fixed, data varies.; Likelihood view: data is fixed, parameter varies.

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The likelihood function is L(p)=(107)⋅p7⋅(1−p)3L(p) = \binom{10}{7} \cdot p^7 \cdot (1-p)^3. It represents the probability of observing 7 heads and 3 tails as a function of the unknown parameter pp, the probability of heads.

Conditions: The number of tosses n=10n=10.; The observed number of heads k=7k=7.; pp is the probability of heads on a single toss.