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Answers for “如何决定在ARMA模型中包含多少个AR和MA项?”

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An ARMA model combines autoregressive terms in past observations with moving-average terms in past errors within a single equation. The general equation is Yt=ω+ϕ1Yt−1+⋯+ϕpYt−p+θ1et−1+⋯+θqet−q+etY_t = \omega + \phi_1 Y_{t-1} + \cdots + \phi_p Y_{t-p} + \theta_1 e_{t-1} + \cdots + \theta_q e_{t-q} + e_t.

Conditions: Time-series modeling; Includes both lagged observations and lagged errors

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In ARIMA(p, d, q), p represents the number of autoregressive (AR) terms, d is the number of first differences applied to make the data stationary, and q denotes the number of moving average (MA) terms.

Conditions: Applies to ARIMA model notation.