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Answers for “马尔可夫链中的平稳分布是什么,为什么它对 MCMC 很重要?”

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The stationary distribution is a probability distribution that remains unchanged as the Markov chain evolves. It is important for MCMC because when the chain reaches equilibrium, the long-run fraction of time spent in each region exactly matches the target probability, allowing the chain to act as a perfect sampler.

Conditions: The Markov chain must reach equilibrium.; π\pi is a probability vector and PP is the transition matrix.; The target distribution is π\pi.

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A Markov chain is a mathematical system that undergoes transitions from one state to another according to certain probabilistic rules. Its defining characteristic is the memoryless property: the probability of transitioning to any particular state depends solely on the current state and time elapsed, not on the sequence of events that preceded it.

Conditions: The future state depends only on the present state.; Transition probabilities are defined between states.; The system is a Markov chain.