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Answers for “为什么 R-naught 等于 1 是疫情的分界线?”

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R0=1R_0=1 is the threshold separating outbreak decline from growth. If R0<1R_0 < 1, each case infects fewer than one other person on average, causing transmission chains to break and the outbreak to fade.

Conditions: The video states the growth side only until immunity builds up.; The example value shown is R0=2.5R_0=2.5.

Understand why

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When R0>1R_0 > 1, each generation of infections is larger than the previous one because every case produces more than one new infection on average. This repeated multiplication by a factor greater than one results in exponential growth of the outbreak.

Conditions: Assumes the same average transmission per case across generations.; The worked example uses R0=2.5R_0=2.5.