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Answers for “如何计算指数平滑预测的均方误差(MSE)?”

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In exponential smoothing, the first period's forecast is typically initialized with the first period's actual value (F1=A1F_1 = A_1). Because the forecast and the actual value are identical, the error is zero and uninformative.

Conditions: The initial forecast is set to the first actual value (F1=A1F_1 = A_1).; You are calculating forecast errors to evaluate model accuracy.