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Answers for “为什么摘要声称改进的 Verhulst 模型比改进的 GM(1,1) 模型更精确?”

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The abstract reports that the average precision of the Verhulst improved model can reach 85%. This figure is presented as a textual claim demonstrating that the model can basically meet the demand for road traffic safety management.

Conditions: The metric refers specifically to the Verhulst improved model.; The value is an average precision reported in the abstract text.

Understand why

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The abstract states that the GM(1,1) model has low precision for predicting violent non-stationary data series. To address this disadvantage, it proposes both a GM(1,1) improved model and a Verhulst improved model using metabolism methods.

Conditions: The comparison applies to violent changing or violent non-stationary data series.; The empirical evaluation uses traffic accident data from 1996 to 2009 of Heilongjiang Province.