R0=1 is the threshold separating outbreak decline from growth. If R0<1, each case infects fewer than one other person on average, causing transmission chains to break and the outbreak to fade.
Conditions: The video states the growth side only until immunity builds up.; The example value shown is R0=2.5.
R0=1 is the threshold separating outbreak decline from growth. If R0<1, each case infects fewer than one other person on average, causing transmission chains to break and the outbreak to fade.
Conditions: The video states the growth side only until immunity builds up.; The example value shown is R0=2.5.
R0 should be used early in an outbreak when the whole population is susceptible and when a growth rate and serial interval are available. Once some immunity builds up in the population, one should switch to using the effective reproduction number instead.
Conditions: Use R0 early in an outbreak with a fully susceptible population.; Use it when a growth rate and serial interval are available.; Switch to effective R once immunity builds.
R0 should be used early in an outbreak when the whole population is susceptible and when a growth rate and serial interval are available. Once some immunity builds up in the population, one should switch to using the effective reproduction number instead.
Conditions: Use R0 early in an outbreak with a fully susceptible population.; Use it when a growth rate and serial interval are available.; Switch to effective R once immunity builds.
Under the simple SIR model, R0 is approximated using the formula R0=1+r⋅Ts, where r is the growth rate and Ts is the serial interval. This approximation assumes exponentially distributed generation times.
Conditions: Stated as an approximation under the simple SIR model.; The on-screen note says it assumes exponentially distributed generation times.
Under the simple SIR model, R0 is approximated using the formula R0=1+r⋅Ts, where r is the growth rate and Ts is the serial interval. This approximation assumes exponentially distributed generation times.
Conditions: Stated as an approximation under the simple SIR model.; The on-screen note says it assumes exponentially distributed generation times.
When R0>1, each generation of infections is larger than the previous one because every case produces more than one new infection on average. This repeated multiplication by a factor greater than one results in exponential growth of the outbreak.
Conditions: Assumes the same average transmission per case across generations.; The worked example uses R0=2.5.
When R0>1, each generation of infections is larger than the previous one because every case produces more than one new infection on average. This repeated multiplication by a factor greater than one results in exponential growth of the outbreak.
Conditions: Assumes the same average transmission per case across generations.; The worked example uses R0=2.5.