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Answers for “贝叶斯定理中的分母如何归一化后验?”

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In this two-category example, the prior P(H)P(H) is the probability of the hypothesis 'Steve is a librarian' before seeing evidence, calculated as 1/211/21 based on the stipulated population. The likelihood P(E∣H)P(E|H) is the probability of the evidence 'fits the description' given the hypothesis is true, stipulated as 0.4.

Conditions: Hypothesis H: 'Steve is a librarian'; Evidence E: 'Fits the description'; Population assumption: 10 librarians, 200 farmers; Likelihood assumption: 40% for librarians, 10% for farmers