In this two-category example, the prior is the probability of the hypothesis 'Steve is a librarian' before seeing evidence, calculated as based on the stipulated population. The likelihood is the probability of the evidence 'fits the description' given the hypothesis is true, stipulated as 0.4.
Conditions: Hypothesis H: 'Steve is a librarian'; Evidence E: 'Fits the description'; Population assumption: 10 librarians, 200 farmers; Likelihood assumption: 40% for librarians, 10% for farmers
In this two-category example, the prior is the probability of the hypothesis 'Steve is a librarian' before seeing evidence, calculated as based on the stipulated population. The likelihood is the probability of the evidence 'fits the description' given the hypothesis is true, stipulated as 0.4.
Conditions: Hypothesis H: 'Steve is a librarian'; Evidence E: 'Fits the description'; Population assumption: 10 librarians, 200 farmers; Likelihood assumption: 40% for librarians, 10% for farmers