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Mathematical modeling

Turns engineering, economic, biological and social questions into variables, assumptions, solvable models, validated answers and an honest limits section.

Model formulation and assumptions

  • Mathematical modeling process

    Turn a real question into variables, assumptions, a solvable model, a solution and a check against data.

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  • Assumptions and simplification

    State which effects are ignored and why, so the model stays solvable while remaining defensible against the data.

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  • Decision and state variables

    Name every symbol with its unit and range before writing equations, because undefined symbols make results unverifiable.

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  • Dimensional analysis

    Check that both sides of every equation share the same units, and derive scaling groups such as the Reynolds number.

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  • Discretization

    Replace continua by grids, time steps or samples so a numerical solver can work, and study the resulting truncation error.

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  • Modeling report structure

    Answer with assumptions, model, solution, validation and limitations, so a reviewer can retrace each choice.

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Optimization models

  • Linear programming model

    Maximise or minimise a linear objective subject to linear inequalities, the workhorse of allocation problems.

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  • Feasible region and graphical method

    Plot the constraints to see the feasible polygon; the optimum sits at a vertex unless the objective is flat on an edge.

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  • Simplex method

    Move vertex to vertex along the feasible polytope, each step improving the objective until no improving edge remains.

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  • Duality and shadow price

    Every linear program has a dual; the dual value of a binding constraint is the marginal worth of relaxing it.

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  • Integer programming

    Force some variables to be whole numbers or binary, which models choosing, counting and sequencing decisions.

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  • Branch and bound

    Solve relaxed linear problems, branch on fractional integers and prune nodes whose bound cannot beat the incumbent.

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  • Nonlinear programming and KKT conditions

    For smooth nonlinear models, optimality requires stationarity, primal and dual feasibility and complementary slackness.

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  • Multi-objective optimization and Pareto front

    Trade off competing objectives; the Pareto front collects solutions that no longer can be improved on one goal without hurting another.

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  • Shortest path models

    Dijkstra solves non-negative networks; Bellman-Ford tolerates negative edges and underpins route pricing.

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  • Network flow models

    Maximise flow through capacities; the min-cut theorem turns a bottleneck argument into a computable bound.

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  • Minimum spanning tree

    Connect all nodes at least total cost with Kruskal or Prim; the base of routing and pipeline design.

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  • Transportation and assignment problems

    Ship supplies to demands or match workers to jobs at least cost; special structures beat generic solvers.

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  • Knapsack problem

    Choose a subset under a capacity limit; dynamic programming solves it pseudo-polynomially.

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  • Traveling salesman routing

    Visit each site once at least tour length; heuristics plus bounds are the practical modelling answer.

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  • Dynamic programming recursions

    Split a sequential decision into stages and store subproblem values so each is computed once.

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  • Queueing and inventory models

    Balance arrival and service rates for waiting times, and trade ordering cost against holding cost for order size.

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  • Population and growth models

    Write per-capita birth and death rates into a differential equation; the logistic term caps growth by carrying capacity.

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  • Compartmental differential equation models

    Split the system into compartments with flows between them; the SIR model is the standard epidemic example.

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  • Difference equation models

    Describe discrete-step dynamics such as generations or quarters, and study stability through the multiplier magnitude.

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  • Markov chain prediction

    Advance a state distribution by a transition matrix; its stationary vector is the long-run share of states.

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Evaluation and decision models

  • Analytic hierarchy process

    Build pairwise comparison matrices over criteria, then read weights from the dominant eigenvector and check consistency.

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  • TOPSIS ranking

    Score each alternative by its relative closeness to an ideal point and distance from an anti-ideal point.

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  • Entropy weighting

    Let the data set criterion weights from dispersion: a more uniform column carries less information and gets a smaller weight.

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  • Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

    Map graded judgements through membership functions and a fuzzy relation to a single comparable score.

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Data and statistical models

  • Regression modeling

    Fit a conditional mean function to data, then interpret coefficients only within the range the design covers.

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  • Least squares and residual diagnostics

    Minimise squared residuals, then read residual plots for curvature, heteroscedasticity and outliers before trusting R-squared.

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  • Interpolation versus curve fitting

    Interpolation passes through every sample, while fitting smooths noise by trading bias against variance.

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  • Standardization and scaling

    Rescale columns before distance-based methods, otherwise the largest unit dominates the result.

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  • Outlier handling

    Distinguish data errors from genuine extremes; robust fits and winsorising change conclusions in different ways.

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  • Principal component analysis

    Rotate correlated variables onto orthogonal directions of maximal variance and keep the leading components.

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  • Cluster analysis

    Group objects by a distance metric; the metric and the linkage choice decide the partition as much as the algorithm does.

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  • Discriminant analysis

    Find linear combinations that separate labelled groups and classify new records by the closest group centre.

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  • Time series and exponential smoothing

    Model level, trend and seasonality over time; smoothing weights recent observations more heavily than old ones.

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  • ARIMA and differencing

    Difference until stationary, fit autoregressive and moving average terms, and forecast with error growing in the horizon.

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  • Monte Carlo simulation

    Sample the uncertain inputs many times to obtain an output distribution and confidence intervals for the answer.

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Validation and sensitivity

Common modelling mistakes

  • Overfitting and leakage

    A model tuned on the test set or fed future information looks excellent and fails on new data.

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  • Unit and scale inconsistency

    Mixing kilometres with hours or percent with proportion is the most common silent modelling error.

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  • Copying templates without assumptions

    Reusing a famous model without stating its preconditions hides why the answer stops being valid.

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Curriculum scope reference