How do you calculate for the event that at least one box is empty when placing 4 distinct balls into 4 distinct boxes?
Directly enumerating cases with 1, 2, 3, or 4 empty boxes is cumbersome. Instead, use the complementary event: no box is empty. The total number of ways to distribute 4 distinct balls into 4 distinct boxes is . The number of ways where no box is empty (each box gets exactly one ball) is the permutation !. Thus, .
Conditions
- The balls are distinct.
- The boxes are distinct.
- Each ball must be placed into one box.
- Empty boxes are allowed in the total sample space.
Reasoning, step by step
- Determine the total number of outcomes in the sample space: .
- Identify the complementary event : no box is empty.
- Calculate the number of outcomes for : since 4 balls go into 4 boxes with none empty, each box has exactly 1 ball, resulting in 4! permutations.
- Compute ! / .
- Use the complement rule: .
Example
The video shows , which simplifies to .
Common misconceptions
- Trying to sum the probabilities of exactly 1, 2, 3, and 4 empty boxes directly.
- Forgetting that the total sample space size is , not 4! or another value.
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For n distinct objects, successive choices are n, , …, 1, giving n!. The counting rule needs the stated number of choices after each preceding choice; this is not a probability-independence assumption.
Conditions: Objects are distinct.; Order matters.
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