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How do you calculate P(A)P(A) for the event that at least one box is empty when placing 4 distinct balls into 4 distinct boxes?

Directly enumerating cases with 1, 2, 3, or 4 empty boxes is cumbersome. Instead, use the complementary event: no box is empty. The total number of ways to distribute 4 distinct balls into 4 distinct boxes is 444^4. The number of ways where no box is empty (each box gets exactly one ball) is the permutation A44=4A_4^4 = 4!. Thus, P(A)=1−A44/44P(A) = 1 - A_4^4 / 4^4.

Conditions

  • The balls are distinct.
  • The boxes are distinct.
  • Each ball must be placed into one box.
  • Empty boxes are allowed in the total sample space.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Determine the total number of outcomes in the sample space: 444^4.
  2. Identify the complementary event AcA^c: no box is empty.
  3. Calculate the number of outcomes for AcA^c: since 4 balls go into 4 boxes with none empty, each box has exactly 1 ball, resulting in 4! permutations.
  4. Compute P(Ac)=4P(A^c) = 4! / 444^4.
  5. Use the complement rule: P(A)=1−P(Ac)P(A) = 1 - P(A^c).

Example

The video shows P(A)=1−A44/44P(A) = 1 - A_4^4 / 4^4, which simplifies to 1−24/256=29/321 - 24/256 = 29/32.

Common misconceptions

  • Trying to sum the probabilities of exactly 1, 2, 3, and 4 empty boxes directly.
  • Forgetting that the total sample space size is 444^4, not 4! or another value.

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Answers are generated from source material and independently checked. Consult the original video or creator if something is unclear.