How is calculus used to find the maximum likelihood estimator?
Conditions
- The log-likelihood function is differentiable with respect to the parameter .
- The parameter space allows for a maximum to exist.
Reasoning, step by step
- Write down the likelihood function .
- Take the natural logarithm to get the log-likelihood .
- Compute the first derivative of the log-likelihood with respect to : .
- Set the first derivative equal to zero and solve for to find the critical points.
- Compute the second derivative of the log-likelihood with respect to .
- Verify that the second derivative is negative at the critical point to confirm it is a maximum.
Example
The speaker outlines the steps: "write down likelihood, take log, take first derivative, set to zero, find maximizer, take second derivative." She notes, "we can just go ahead and use calculus to take derivatives and find the maximizer."
Common misconceptions
- Forgetting to check the second derivative to ensure the critical point is a maximum rather than a minimum.
- Assuming that setting the derivative to zero always yields a unique global maximum without checking boundary conditions.
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The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is the value of the parameter that maximizes the likelihood function for the observed data. Graphically, it is the parameter value at the peak of the likelihood curve.
Conditions: A likelihood function has been constructed.; One compares values of the parameter with the data fixed.
The maximum likelihood estimate is defined as the parameter value that corresponds to the peak (maximum) of the likelihood curve. It is the value of the parameter that gives the highest likelihood for the observed data.
Conditions: A likelihood function over candidate parameter values is available.; The data are fixed.
We use the log-likelihood because the natural logarithm is a strictly increasing (monotonic) function, so maximizing the log-likelihood yields the exact same parameter value as maximizing the original likelihood. Additionally, the logarithm converts the product of independent probabilities into a sum, which makes differentiation much easier.
Conditions: The likelihood function is strictly positive.; The base of the logarithm is greater than 1 (e.g., the natural logarithm).
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