What does it mean to fail to reject the null hypothesis?
Conditions
- A hypothesis test has been conducted.
- The decision is to fail to reject .
Reasoning, step by step
- Conduct the hypothesis test.
- Compare the test statistic to the critical value or the p-value to .
- If the evidence is insufficient, fail to reject .
- Interpret this as a lack of strong evidence against , not as confirmation of .
Example
A test can reject or fail to reject it. Failing to reject is not a proof that the null is true; the sample may simply provide insufficient evidence against it.
Common misconceptions
- Believing that failing to reject proves the null hypothesis is true.
- Thinking that failing to reject means the alternative hypothesis is false.
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Related questions
In a symmetric two-tailed construction, the significance level is split equally between the two tails. Each tail receives .
Conditions: The test is a symmetric two-tailed test.; The significance level is .
The form of the alternative hypothesis dictates the tail(s) of the test. gives a two-tailed test, a left-tailed test, and a right-tailed test.
Conditions: The null hypothesis is based on a population mean of 23.; The alternative hypothesis is formulated before seeing the data.
The significance level controls the chance of rejecting a true null hypothesis. It defines the probability of making a Type I error, which is rejecting when it is actually true.
Conditions: The test is conducted under the null model.; is the pre-specified significance level.
The null hypothesis includes the boundary value. In the example with a population mean of 23, the null hypothesis is centered around or includes this specific value as the reference claim against which the alternative hypothesis tests for departure.
Conditions: The example uses a population mean of 23.; The null hypothesis is formulated to include this value.
The null hypothesis serves as the reference claim that includes the boundary value. In the example, it represents the status quo or the specific departure being tested against the alternative hypothesis.
Conditions: The population mean is 23.; The null hypothesis includes the boundary value.
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