What is an Arrow-Debreu security and how does it relate to the state price vector?
Conditions
- The market model has a finite set of states.
- Payoffs are normalized to 1 in one state and 0 elsewhere.
- The model is a one-period setting.
Reasoning, step by step
- Define the payoff structure of an Arrow-Debreu security for a specific state.
- Identify the current price of this security as the 'state price' for that state.
- Repeat this for all possible states in the model.
- Assemble these individual state prices into a single vector, which is the state price vector.
Example
A payment of one in state one and zero otherwise is called the Arrow-Debreu security , and its price is denoted . The state price vector for a three-state market is .
Common misconceptions
- Confusing the Arrow-Debreu security with a standard stock or bond that pays dividends or interest across multiple states.
- Assuming the state price vector represents probabilities; the entries are monetary prices and do not necessarily sum to 1.
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The solution for the state price vector is unique because the coefficient matrix of the resulting linear pricing system has a nonzero determinant. A nonzero determinant guarantees that the system of linear equations has exactly one unique solution for the unknown state prices.
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To derive the linear pricing equations, you impose the no-arbitrage condition that the current price of each traded asset must equal the sum of its state-contingent payoffs weighted by the corresponding state prices. This produces one linear equation per traded asset, with the state prices acting as the unknowns.
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You convert a state price vector into risk-neutral probabilities by multiplying each state price by the gross risk-free factor , where is the per-period risk-free interest rate. This scaling transforms the monetary prices of Arrow-Debreu securities into a valid probability distribution that sums to 1.
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The arbitrage-free price of a European put option is calculated by first determining its state-contingent payoffs, decomposing this payoff vector into the Arrow-Debreu basis, and then taking the dot product of the payoff vector with the state price vector. This relies on the linearity of pricing in a finite-state market.
Conditions: The market is a one-period finite-state model.; The state price vector is known.; The option is European and expires at the end of the period.; The underlying asset's state-contingent payoffs and the strike price are known.
The state price vector for this specific three-state market model is . This vector is found by solving the linear system of pricing equations derived from the given asset payoffs and their common current price of 100.
Conditions: One-period securities market model.; Three possible scenarios (states).; Risk-free bank account with 10% interest (payoff 110 in all states).; Current price of each security is 100.; Security X payoffs: 220, 55, 0.; Security Y payoffs: 0, 0, 250.
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