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What is the state price vector for the market with payoffs (110,110,110), (220,55,0), and (0,0,250) and prices all equal to 100?

The state price vector for this specific three-state market model is [24/55,4/55,2/5][24/55, 4/55, 2/5]. This vector is found by solving the linear system of pricing equations derived from the given asset payoffs and their common current price of 100.

Conditions

  • One-period securities market model.
  • Three possible scenarios (states).
  • Risk-free bank account with 10% interest (payoff 110 in all states).
  • Current price of each security is 100.
  • Security X payoffs: 220, 55, 0.
  • Security Y payoffs: 0, 0, 250.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Write the pricing equation for the bank account: 110ψ1+110ψ2+110ψ3=100110\psi_1 + 110\psi_2 + 110\psi_3 = 100.
  2. Write the pricing equation for Security X: 220ψ1+55ψ2+0ψ3=100220\psi_1 + 55\psi_2 + 0\psi_3 = 100.
  3. Write the pricing equation for Security Y: 0ψ1+0ψ2+250ψ3=1000\psi_1 + 0\psi_2 + 250\psi_3 = 100.
  4. Solve the third equation to find ψ3=100/250=2/5\psi_3 = 100/250 = 2/5.
  5. Substitute ψ3\psi_3 into the first equation and solve the remaining 2x2 system with the second equation to find ψ1=24/55\psi_1 = 24/55 and ψ2=4/55\psi_2 = 4/55.
  6. Assemble the state price vector [ψ1,ψ2,ψ3][\psi_1, \psi_2, \psi_3].

Example

The document explicitly displays the solution: ψ1=2455\psi_1=\frac{24}{55}, ψ2=455\psi_2=\frac{4}{55}, ψ3=25\psi_3=\frac{2}{5}, and the state price vector is [ψ1 ψ2 ψ3]=[2455 455 25][\psi_1\ \psi_2\ \psi_3]=\left[\frac{24}{55}\ \frac{4}{55}\ \frac{2}{5}\right].

Common misconceptions

  • Assuming the state price vector entries sum to 1; they are prices, not probabilities, and their sum is 24/55+4/55+22/55=50/55≠124/55 + 4/55 + 22/55 = 50/55 \neq 1.
  • Omitting the zero payoff terms when setting up the equations, which can lead to confusion about the number of variables.

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