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The Year 2 forecast is 310 because both the actual demand for Year 1 and the initialized forecast for Year 1 are exactly 310. When a weighted average is calculated using two identical values, the result is that same value, regardless of the weights used.

Conditions: The smoothing constant $\alpha$ is fixed at 0.4.; The actual demand for Year 1 ($A_1$) is 310.; The initialized forecast for Year 1 ($F_1$) is 310.

The Year 2 forecast is 310 because both the actual demand for Year 1 and the initialized forecast for Year 1 are exactly 310. When a weighted average is calculated using two identical values, the result is that same value, regardless of the weights used.

Conditions: The smoothing constant $\alpha$ is fixed at 0.4.; The actual demand for Year 1 ($A_1$) is 310.; The initialized forecast for Year 1 ($F_1$) is 310.