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Answers for “为什么这种区别在医学诊断中很重要?”

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The model illustrates the difference by showing that P(+∣D)P(+\mid D) (sensitivity) is fixed at 95%95\%, while P(D∣+)P(D\mid +) (positive predictive value) is calculated to be only  16.1%~16.1\%. This demonstrates that the probability of a positive test given disease is not the same as the probability of disease given a positive test, especially when prevalence is low.

Conditions: Sensitivity is 95%95\%.; Calculated P(D∣+)P(D\mid +) is  16.1%~16.1\%.; Prevalence is 1%1\%.