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Answers for “为什么预期利润不是保证?”

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Expected profit is a long-run average calculated by weighting outcomes by their probabilities. It does not guarantee that any single trial or even a finite series of trials will yield exactly that amount, because actual results vary randomly around the mean.

Conditions: The scenario involves random outcomes with assigned probabilities.; The calculation uses the probability-weighted average (expectation).

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To calculate the expected value, list all mutually exclusive outcomes, assign their stated monetary gains or losses, and ensure the probabilities sum to one. Then, compute the weighted mean by multiplying each outcome's value by its probability and summing these products.

Conditions: The outcomes are mutually exclusive.; The probabilities assigned to the outcomes sum to exactly one.; Monetary values are defined consistently, including any applicable costs.