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Answers for “时间序列分析中的平稳性是什么意思?”

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Stationarity means that the statistical distribution of the data depends only on the difference in time between observations, rather than their absolute location in time.

Conditions: Applies to time series data.

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An ARMA model combines autoregressive terms in past observations with moving-average terms in past errors within a single equation. The general equation is Yt=ω+ϕ1Yt−1+⋯+ϕpYt−p+θ1et−1+⋯+θqet−q+etY_t = \omega + \phi_1 Y_{t-1} + \cdots + \phi_p Y_{t-p} + \theta_1 e_{t-1} + \cdots + \theta_q e_{t-q} + e_t.

Conditions: Time-series modeling; Includes both lagged observations and lagged errors

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Two methods are introduced for selecting model order: plotting patterns in correlation and using automatic selection techniques.

Conditions: Used when deciding how many AR and MA terms to include