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How do you find Player 2's mixing probability q in a mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium?

To find Player 2's mixing probability qq, you must choose qq so that Player 1 is indifferent between their pure strategies, Right (R) and Left (L). This involves computing Player 1's expected payoff from each pure row strategy under Player 2's mixture, setting those two expected payoffs equal to each other, and solving the resulting linear equation for qq.

Conditions

  • Player 2 mixes between R and L with probabilities qq and 1−q1-q.
  • The target player (Player 1) must be made indifferent between the pure strategies being mixed.
  • The solution for qq should lie in [0,1][0,1] to represent a valid mixed strategy.

Reasoning, step by step

  1. Identify Player 1's payoffs for each outcome in the payoff matrix.
  2. Calculate Player 1's expected payoff if they choose strategy R, denoted as Π1(R)\Pi_1(R), by weighting Player 1's payoffs in the R row by Player 2's probabilities qq and 1−q1-q.
  3. Calculate Player 1's expected payoff if they choose strategy L, denoted as Π1(L)\Pi_1(L), by weighting Player 1's payoffs in the L row by Player 2's probabilities qq and 1−q1-q.
  4. Set the two expected payoffs equal to each other: Π1(R)=Π1(L)\Pi_1(R) = \Pi_1(L).
  5. Solve the resulting algebraic equation for qq.

Example

In the displayed game, Player 1's expected payoff from choosing R is Π1(R)=q(0)+(1−q)3=3−3q\Pi_1(R) = q(0) + (1-q)3 = 3 - 3q. Player 1's expected payoff from choosing L is Π1(L)=q(4)+(1−q)0=4q\Pi_1(L) = q(4) + (1-q)0 = 4q. Setting them equal gives 3−3q=4q3 - 3q = 4q. Adding 3q3q to both sides yields 3=7q3 = 7q, and dividing by 7 gives q=3/7q = 3/7.

Common misconceptions

  • A common error is to use Player 2's own payoffs when solving for Player 2's qq. To find Player 2's equilibrium mixing probability, one equalizes Player 1's expected payoffs.
  • One may mistakenly attach qq to Player 2's left action or to the wrong column payoff. In this example, qq is the probability of Player 2 choosing R.

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